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Deception Forecast — the archive.
Every forecast we've published, newest first. Each day's risk level is a nowcast — backed by verified activity or a documented seasonal pattern, with sources. We never invent a number or a "tomorrow."
- Elevated Fri, Aug 7, 2026 LatestThe FTC's newest alert warns that scammers buy lists of people who've already been scammed and call back as the rescue — a government agency, a law firm, even the FTC itself — while the FBI's standing PSA describes imposters posing as its own complaint center, complete with AI-generated videos and lookalike websites.Elevated · the second scam — fake 'recovery help' and FBI imposters are re-targeting people who already lost moneyRead the forecast
- Elevated Thu, Jul 23, 2026The FTC's newest alert points at the tell that survives every disguise — how scammers ask you to pay — while a $45.9 million student-loan "forgiveness" operation faces a permanent ban from the debt relief industry.Elevated · payment-method demands and student-debt-relief imposters in focusRead the forecast
- Elevated Thu, Jun 25, 2026With the 2026 World Cup under way, scammers are spoofing official ticket and hospitality sites — while summer travel scams and a fake-verification malware trick keep circulating.Holding at "Elevated" · World Cup ticket and travel scams move into the spotlightRead the forecast
- Elevated Wed, Jun 24, 2026A new "CAPTCHA" malware trick is circulating — fake verification screens that tell you to run keyboard commands — while summer travel scams keep spreading.Holding at "Elevated" · a new fake-verification malware trick joins the summer travel waveRead the forecast
- Elevated Mon, Jun 22, 2026Imposter scams lead the pack — new FTC data ties them to $3.5 billion in reported 2025 losses, as summer travel scams keep circulating.Holding at "Elevated" · new FTC data puts imposter scams in the spotlightRead the forecast
- Elevated Sat, Jun 20, 2026Summer travel is here — and so are fake rental listings and "too cheap" trip deals.Holding at "Elevated" · focus shifts to summer travel & vacation-rental scamsRead the forecast
- Watch Fri, Jun 19, 2026Fake tax-refund texts send people to cloned login pages.Known pattern · no verified surge signal in the current windowRead the forecast
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