Mon, Jun 22 Deception Forecast · Wednesday, June 24, 2026 Thu, Jun 25
Scam risk level
Elevated
Holding at "Elevated" · a new fake-verification malware trick joins the summer travel wave
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Elevated
High
Severe
Today's headline threat

A new "CAPTCHA" malware trick is circulating — fake verification screens that tell you to run keyboard commands — while summer travel scams keep spreading.

Defense move

Never type keyboard commands or paste anything a website or pop-up tells you to. A real CAPTCHA or security check never asks you to press Windows + R or run commands — close the page and go to the real site yourself.

This forecast is a nowcast.Every level is backed by verified activity or a documented seasonal pattern — never a guess.

Why it's "Elevated" today

We don't predict the future. This level reflects what is verifiably happening right now.

Verified activity

In June 2026 the FTC warned about a new phishing trick disguised as a CAPTCHA: an unexpected "verification" screen tells you to type a series of commands — something like "Windows + R," then "Ctrl + V," and then "Enter." It may say "security verification," but those steps actually paste and run hidden malware on your device. The FTC notes a real CAPTCHA never asks you to run commands. Imposter scams also remain in the spotlight — including scammers posing as the FTC itself (even texting a fake "photo ID" to seem real) and "missed jury duty" warrant-threat calls.

FTC Consumer Alerts (June 2026): "How to spot a CAPTCHA scam" · FTC imposter and jury-duty alerts
Documented seasonal pattern

Summer travel reliably draws travel, vacation-rental, and ticket scams every year — a recurring, sourced pattern, labeled here as a seasonal factor. The FTC warns that travel scams crop up in paid search ads that place a scammer's number alongside a well-known brand, or link to a site that only looks like a real hotel or airline. Reports to the FTC tied to travel, vacations, and timeshares topped 64,000 in 2025.

FTC summer travel alert (June 2026) · AARP travel fraud reporting
We never invent a number or a "tomorrow." If we can't source it, we don't raise the level. How we forecast ›

Active right now

The scams behind today's level.

ElevatedFake "verification" / CAPTCHA malware

A pop-up or page poses as a CAPTCHA or "security check" and tells you to press keys like Windows + R, paste, and hit Enter — which quietly runs malware that can steal your passwords and accounts. Real verification never asks you to run commands.

Read the guide
ElevatedGovernment & agency imposters

Callers and texts pose as the SSA, IRS, a court ("missed jury duty"), or even the FTC, using threats or urgency to pull payment or personal details. Real agencies do not demand gift cards, wire transfers, or crypto — and will not text you a photo ID to "prove" who they are.

Read the guide
ElevatedSummer travel & vacation-rental scams

Fake rental listings, look-alike booking sites, and paid-ad "support" numbers — increasingly on AI-cloned pages — demand upfront payment by wire, gift card, or crypto for a trip or place that does not exist.

Read the guide
WatchToll & "redelivery" smishing

Texts claiming an unpaid toll or a held parcel ask for a small fee on a cloned page that harvests your card.

Read the guide

Editorial, not algorithmic. Risk levels are a transparent editorial judgment based on a published rubric — with sources, never pseudo-precise scores.

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